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Red289
5112147.9
126139.1
2079130.8
Blue392
125183.1
4151100.0
7164120.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331297100200400500600289392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#18
147.90.3
147.4147.7
Auto16.8
Teleop115.6
End12.1
blue by 35.2
125
#5
183.11.3
173.2174.5
Auto26.2
Teleop136.6
End24.8
Second
126
#12
139.11.0
134.3135.3
Auto19.4
Teleop100.1
End20.9
red by 18.8
7164
#35
120.32.1
125.0122.9
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End13.8
Third
2079
#27
130.81.1
126.3127.4
Auto17.9
Teleop88.6
End25.5
red by 30.9
4151
#28
100.00.8
98.898.1
Auto12.7
Teleop78.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed