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Red184
121151.1
2079130.8
1277109.7
Blue442
4796123.9
1100153.0
5000164.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433580100200300400500600700184442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
#22
151.10.5
144.5145.0
Auto23.0
Teleop111.2
End16.8
blue by 13.6
164.72.2
146.6148.9
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
Second
2079
#27
130.80.4
118.7119.1
Auto17.9
Teleop88.6
End25.5
blue by 22.2
1100
#16
153.01.5
132.8134.3
Auto20.9
Teleop116.9
End16.2
Third
1277
#33
109.70.0
102.2102.2
Auto14.2
Teleop82.7
End14.9
blue by 14.2
4796
#30
123.90.7
116.3117.0
Auto16.7
Teleop96.4
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed