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Red390
1517121.7
175160.6
1100153.0
Blue139
7164120.3
6620120.6
5000164.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374286100200500600390139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#10
160.62.0
156.0158.0
Auto20.5
Teleop119.4
End21.8
blue by 4.1
164.71.1
164.2165.3
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
Second
1100
#16
153.00.1
151.2151.1
Auto20.9
Teleop116.9
End16.2
red by 32.4
6620
#38
120.60.3
122.0121.7
Auto15.2
Teleop94.0
End8.0
Third
1517
#31
121.70.3
120.7121.0
Auto14.7
Teleop90.4
End18.1
red by 1.5
7164
#35
120.30.5
122.2121.6
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed