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Red128
3719122.0
1740122.3
5112147.9
Blue482
4908154.2
3236156.8
4176127.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274377100200500600128482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#18
147.91.0
148.1149.1
Auto16.8
Teleop115.6
End12.1
blue by 8.9
156.80.5
152.4152.9
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
Second
1740
#39
122.30.5
125.0124.5
Auto16.3
Teleop84.1
End17.9
blue by 31.8
4908
#13
154.20.8
151.2151.9
Auto15.8
Teleop115.9
End21.8
Third
3719
#26
122.01.1
121.4122.4
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
blue by 5.4
4176
#15
127.41.8
120.1122.0
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed