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Red275
4097117.9
1757115.5
4176127.4
Blue328
5000164.7
3146147.1
5112147.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241402100200300500600700275328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4176
#15
127.42.2
122.0124.2
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
blue by 37.4
164.70.2
165.3165.1
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
Second
4097
#32
117.90.3
117.6117.9
Auto13.0
Teleop89.9
End17.6
blue by 30.0
5112
#18
147.90.6
149.1148.5
Auto16.8
Teleop115.6
End12.1
Third
1757
#34
115.51.3
114.2115.5
Auto18.3
Teleop87.6
End10.2
blue by 31.6
3146
#21
147.11.0
145.7146.8
Auto17.2
Teleop109.5
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed