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Red343
125183.1
5846143.3
3719122.0
Blue374
1100153.0
3236156.8
3623149.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338374100200300500600700800343374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#5
183.10.7
182.4183.1
Auto26.2
Teleop136.6
End24.8
red by 26.3
156.80.5
155.3155.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
Second
143.30.4
142.9143.3
Auto20.1
Teleop107.6
End17.7
blue by 9.7
1100
#16
153.00.3
152.0152.3
Auto20.9
Teleop116.9
End16.2
Third
3719
#26
122.00.1
121.9122.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
blue by 27.7
3623
#17
149.70.5
148.1148.6
Auto16.8
Teleop112.6
End22.5