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Red333
3646193.6
6106133.1
5212129.0
Blue310
4188178.3
1775144.0
4159148.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321347200250300400450500333310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3646
#10
193.60.2
192.5192.7
Auto23.4
Teleop147.6
End21.7
red by 15.3
4188
#15
178.30.2
178.6178.4
Auto23.7
Teleop133.4
End22.1
Second
6106
#48
133.10.2
133.1132.9
Auto16.0
Teleop101.6
End14.5
blue by 15.2
4159
#21
148.40.5
147.9148.4
Auto18.4
Teleop115.7
End15.8
Third
5212
#32
129.00.6
128.4129.0
Auto17.0
Teleop92.5
End21.5
blue by 15.0
1775
#43
144.00.1
143.9144.0
Auto17.8
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed