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Red314
1730178.8
1002150.2
1983170.9
Blue399
3250196.2
2521159.8
4802110.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39027902006008001,000314399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#23
178.81.6
187.4185.9
Auto25.3
Teleop137.1
End14.8
blue by 17.4
196.21.4
188.2189.6
Auto28.1
Teleop138.3
End29.0
Second
1983
#25
170.90.6
169.9170.5
Auto20.3
Teleop133.5
End19.0
red by 11.1
159.82.3
140.7143.0
Auto18.1
Teleop120.0
End23.1
Third
1002
#20
150.21.5
140.3141.9
Auto20.5
Teleop115.3
End12.6
red by 40.2
4802
#50
110.00.1
108.9109.0
Auto15.9
Teleop82.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed