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Red309
1778148.3
1775144.0
2073140.0
Blue309
7152115.9
2352172.9
2576111.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299307200250350400450309309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#42
148.3
Auto18.1
Teleop119.2
End9.9
blue by 24.7
2352
#49
172.9
Auto21.3
Teleop133.1
End17.5
Second
1775
#43
144.0
Auto17.8
Teleop105.4
End21.5
red by 28.1
7152
#45
115.9
Auto14.0
Teleop87.7
End15.3
Third
2073
#14
140.0
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End12.7
red by 28.4
2576
#36
111.6
Auto18.9
Teleop86.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed