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Red250
3792153.3
1763146.7
1983170.9
Blue379
4188178.3
2383161.0
4191136.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339311100200400500600700250379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#25
170.90.2
170.5170.7
Auto20.3
Teleop133.5
End19.0
blue by 7.4
4188
#15Sur
178.30.8
173.0173.9
Auto23.7
Teleop133.4
End22.1
Second
3792
#17Sur
153.31.3
153.4154.7
Auto16.3
Teleop120.7
End12.2
blue by 7.7
2383
#37
161.00.3
166.2165.9
Auto19.9
Teleop132.6
End10.2
Third
1763
#65
146.70.7
146.8147.6
Auto18.6
Teleop111.0
End18.5
red by 9.9
136.80.4
126.8127.2
Auto15.5
Teleop103.8
End22.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed