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Red270
4159148.4
1778148.3
2522176.5
Blue418
6072147.2
179207.5
3288114.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3543010100200400500600270418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#11
176.50.7
165.8166.5
Auto26.4
Teleop130.4
End22.0
blue by 31.1
179
#3
207.50.7
200.5201.2
Auto21.3
Teleop144.3
End40.3
Second
4159
#21
148.41.9
141.3143.2
Auto18.4
Teleop115.7
End15.8
red by 1.2
6072
#12
147.20.4
144.8144.4
Auto18.9
Teleop115.8
End11.8
Third
1778
#42
148.30.9
153.8152.9
Auto18.1
Teleop119.2
End9.9
red by 33.9
3288
#56
114.40.1
108.5108.4
Auto16.3
Teleop80.4
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed58%Face the Boss oddsEarned