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Red327
4980170.6
1515130.4
6390162.2
Blue219
7327119.3
2906129.0
4401135.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4182300100300500600700800327219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.60.2
168.3168.1
Auto24.1
Teleop127.6
End18.0
red by 34.7
4401
#44
135.90.5
135.1134.6
Auto16.4
Teleop102.4
End18.9
Second
6390
#46
162.20.3
165.1165.4
Auto18.1
Teleop119.9
End23.4
red by 33.2
2906
#55
129.00.0
128.1128.0
Auto17.8
Teleop93.7
End20.2
Third
1515
#52
130.40.5
140.3139.8
Auto17.6
Teleop97.4
End10.9
red by 11.0
7327
#63
119.30.7
123.2122.4
Auto15.5
Teleop90.0
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed