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Red222
5472192.4
6072147.2
7193115.3
Blue319
5212129.0
3959172.6
6390162.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303358100200400500600700222319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#59
192.40.2
192.2192.0
Auto20.6
Teleop153.6
End15.8
red by 19.8
3959
#13
172.61.0
177.1176.1
Auto21.3
Teleop142.4
End9.2
Second
6072
#12
147.20.7
144.4145.0
Auto18.9
Teleop115.8
End11.8
blue by 15.0
6390
#46
162.20.1
165.4165.3
Auto18.1
Teleop119.9
End23.4
Third
7193
#60
115.30.8
122.0121.2
Auto17.0
Teleop83.0
End12.4
blue by 13.7
5212
#32
129.00.4
126.6127.0
Auto17.0
Teleop92.5
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed