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Red280
5437152.1
2073140.0
5410134.5
Blue403
7193115.3
3250196.2
3792153.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2794120200600800280403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.10.4
140.9141.2
Auto19.4
Teleop111.2
End22.4
blue by 44.1
196.21.5
186.7188.2
Auto28.1
Teleop138.3
End29.0
Second
2073
#14
140.00.7
135.5134.8
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End12.7
blue by 13.3
3792
#17
153.31.8
149.9151.7
Auto16.3
Teleop120.7
End12.2
Third
5410
#29
134.51.1
130.7131.8
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End16.0
red by 19.2
7193
#60
115.30.1
123.7123.6
Auto17.0
Teleop83.0
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed