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Red284
1515130.4
488172.8
5410134.5
Blue253
1983170.9
4188178.3
5429150.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273397100200500600284253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#16
172.80.7
167.3168.0
Auto21.6
Teleop139.6
End11.8
blue by 5.5
4188
#15
178.31.3
174.9176.2
Auto23.7
Teleop133.4
End22.1
Second
5410
#29
134.50.5
134.4134.9
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End16.0
blue by 36.4
1983
#25
170.90.1
169.9169.8
Auto20.3
Teleop133.5
End19.0
Third
1515
#52
130.40.8
139.8139.0
Auto17.6
Teleop97.4
End10.9
blue by 20.5
5429
#24
150.91.2
146.6147.7
Auto17.3
Teleop112.8
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed