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Red315
6996124.1
1983170.9
6024147.0
Blue210
3959172.6
6887110.5
2352172.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278345100200400500600315210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#25
170.90.6
169.8169.2
Auto20.3
Teleop133.5
End19.0
blue by 2.0
2352
#49
172.91.0
179.5178.5
Auto21.3
Teleop133.1
End17.5
Second
6024
#18
147.00.1
145.8145.9
Auto20.9
Teleop107.6
End18.3
blue by 25.6
3959
#13
172.60.9
176.1175.2
Auto21.3
Teleop142.4
End9.2
Third
6996
#30
124.11.1
115.8116.9
Auto17.4
Teleop99.9
End8.8
red by 13.5
6887
#41
110.51.4
108.3109.7
Auto17.0
Teleop84.9
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed