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Red71
3390112.8
7312104.7
1072150.7
Blue296
4159148.4
4191136.8
3880140.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26234210020030040050071296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#54
150.70.6
156.3155.7
Auto20.9
Teleop117.8
End10.4
red by 2.4
4159
#21
148.41.0
144.4145.4
Auto18.4
Teleop115.7
End15.8
Second
3390
#66
112.80.8
111.5112.3
Auto16.1
Teleop85.7
End11.4
blue by 27.7
3880
#47
140.50.9
138.2139.2
Auto15.4
Teleop107.2
End16.5
Third
7312
#58
104.70.0
108.9108.9
Auto14.7
Teleop82.1
End8.9
blue by 32.1
136.81.3
128.0129.3
Auto15.5
Teleop103.8
End22.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed