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Red418
2073140.0
972122.4
3316182.6
Blue289
4522188.0
7018128.2
1775144.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286366100200400500600418289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#19
182.60.7
181.8181.0
Auto24.1
Teleop132.8
End28.6
blue by 5.4
188.00.5
184.2183.7
Auto24.0
Teleop129.4
End36.9
Second
2073
#14
140.00.0
134.8134.8
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End12.7
blue by 4.0
1775
#43
144.01.3
141.3142.6
Auto17.8
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Third
972
#31
122.40.7
119.5118.8
Auto16.5
Teleop96.0
End9.2
blue by 5.8
7018
#61
128.20.9
129.0129.9
Auto15.9
Teleop106.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed