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Red352
6024147.0
4188178.3
2073140.0
Blue340
6390162.2
7327119.3
5472192.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331328200250300350400450352340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#15
178.30.3
176.7177.0
Auto23.7
Teleop133.4
End22.1
blue by 14.1
5472
#59
192.40.7
191.2190.5
Auto20.6
Teleop153.6
End15.8
Second
6024
#18
147.00.4
145.9146.3
Auto20.9
Teleop107.6
End18.3
blue by 15.2
6390
#46
162.20.8
165.1164.2
Auto18.1
Teleop119.9
End23.4
Third
2073
#14
140.01.0
134.8135.8
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End12.7
red by 20.7
7327
#63
119.31.4
121.9120.6
Auto15.5
Teleop90.0
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed