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Red120
7018128.2
7327119.3
5678110.3
Blue345
6459105.3
4191136.8
3959172.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283380100200300400500120345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7018
#61
128.20.6
129.9130.4
Auto15.9
Teleop106.1
End6.5
blue by 44.4
3959
#13
172.61.2
173.5172.3
Auto21.3
Teleop142.4
End9.2
Second
7327
#63
119.30.7
120.6119.9
Auto15.5
Teleop90.0
End14.9
blue by 17.5
136.81.8
130.4132.2
Auto15.5
Teleop103.8
End22.6
Third
5678
#28
110.31.6
106.5108.0
Auto16.7
Teleop81.8
End14.4
red by 5.0
6459
#67
105.30.9
106.7105.8
Auto12.9
Teleop85.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed