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Red451
6957129.5
5212129.0
4522188.0
Blue134
1515130.4
7312104.7
6024147.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380268100200500600700800451134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.00.6
183.2183.8
Auto24.0
Teleop129.4
End36.9
red by 40.9
6024
#18
147.00.5
146.3146.8
Auto20.9
Teleop107.6
End18.3
Second
6957
#38
129.51.6
125.5127.1
Auto17.7
Teleop92.9
End19.5
blue by 0.8
1515
#52
130.41.8
137.1135.3
Auto17.6
Teleop97.4
End10.9
Third
5212
#32
129.00.3
127.2127.5
Auto17.0
Teleop92.5
End21.5
red by 24.3
7312
#58
104.70.8
107.6106.8
Auto14.7
Teleop82.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed