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Red362
665294.6
4191136.8
1710158.7
Blue302
3288114.4
3239152.2
2906129.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313316200250300350400362302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#26
158.70.0
157.7157.7
Auto21.3
Teleop121.5
End16.8
red by 6.5
3239
#51
152.20.9
150.4151.2
Auto19.9
Teleop109.6
End22.6
Second
136.82.1
132.2134.3
Auto15.5
Teleop103.8
End22.6
red by 7.8
2906
#55
129.00.0
128.7128.7
Auto17.8
Teleop93.7
End20.2
Third
6652
#62
94.60.9
92.293.1
Auto15.9
Teleop67.7
End16.5
blue by 19.8
3288
#56
114.41.0
112.4113.4
Auto16.3
Teleop80.4
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed