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Red452
1323230.1
1540155.0
2521159.8
Blue306
179207.5
4159148.4
5985189.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341388200300500600452306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230.10.3
228.4228.1
Auto27.5
Teleop164.0
End36.7
red by 22.5
179
#3
207.50.4
207.8208.2
Auto21.3
Teleop144.3
End40.3
Second
159.80.1
157.5157.4
Auto18.1
Teleop120.0
End23.1
blue by 29.6
5985
#34
189.40.0
190.4190.3
Auto25.3
Teleop146.3
End15.8
Third
1540
#27
155.00.7
152.6153.3
Auto22.1
Teleop122.7
End11.9
red by 6.6
4159
#21
148.41.1
146.8147.9
Auto18.4
Teleop115.7
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsEarned42%Face the Boss oddsMissed