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Semifinal 1-12018 Roebling Division
Red507
1072150.7
1323230.1
3476206.2
Blue358
2383161.0
4522188.0
4188178.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417316100200500600700800507358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
230.10.2
229.5→229.6
Auto27.5
Teleop164.0
End36.7
red by 42.1
4522
#5
188.00.3
187.4→187.7
Auto24.0
Teleop129.4
End36.9
Second
3476
#1
206.20.2
205.2→205.5
Auto24.8
Teleop143.3
End37.2
red by 27.9
4188
#15
178.30.0
178.3→178.3
Auto23.7
Teleop133.4
End22.1
Third
1072
#54
150.70.3
151.2→151.0
Auto20.9
Teleop117.8
End10.4
blue by 10.2
2383
#37
161.00.0
161.0→161.0
Auto19.9
Teleop132.6
End10.2