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Red365
1072150.7
1323230.1
3476206.2
Blue355
2383161.0
4522188.0
5985189.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4183160100200500600700800365355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230.10.2
229.6229.8
Auto27.5
Teleop164.0
End36.7
red by 40.7
5985
#34
189.40.4
189.8189.4
Auto25.3
Teleop146.3
End15.8
Second
206.20.3
205.5205.7
Auto24.8
Teleop143.3
End37.2
red by 18.2
188.00.2
187.7188.0
Auto24.0
Teleop129.4
End36.9
Third
1072
#54
150.70.2
151.0150.7
Auto20.9
Teleop117.8
End10.4
blue by 10.2
2383
#37
161.00.1
161.0161.0
Auto19.9
Teleop132.6
End10.2