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Red378
3646193.6
179207.5
5472192.4
Blue224
1710158.7
2521159.8
3316182.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4432940100200400500600700378224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#3
207.50.1
208.0207.9
Auto21.3
Teleop144.3
End40.3
red by 25.0
3316
#19
182.60.2
182.2182.4
Auto24.1
Teleop132.8
End28.6
Second
3646
#10
193.60.2
193.1193.3
Auto23.4
Teleop147.6
End21.7
red by 33.8
159.80.5
159.3159.8
Auto18.1
Teleop120.0
End23.1
Third
5472
#59
192.40.1
192.2192.3
Auto20.6
Teleop153.6
End15.8
red by 33.7
1710
#26
158.70.1
158.6158.7
Auto21.3
Teleop121.5
End16.8