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Red433
3646193.6
179207.5
5472192.4
Blue370
488172.8
1710158.7
3316182.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428298100200500600700800433370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#3
207.50.1
207.9207.7
Auto21.3
Teleop144.3
End40.3
red by 25.0
3316
#19
182.60.2
182.4182.6
Auto24.1
Teleop132.8
End28.6
Second
3646
#10
193.60.1
193.3193.4
Auto23.4
Teleop147.6
End21.7
red by 20.9
488
#16
172.80.3
172.5172.8
Auto21.6
Teleop139.6
End11.8
Third
5472
#59
192.40.0
192.3192.3
Auto20.6
Teleop153.6
End15.8
red by 33.7
1710
#26
158.70.0
158.7158.7
Auto21.3
Teleop121.5
End16.8