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Quarterfinal 3-32018 Red Stick Rumble
Red183
2992177.7
2080133.9
578596.5
Blue305
2183134.8
5997147.5
3753139.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843310100200400500600700800183305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#7
177.70.0
177.7→177.7
Auto18.5
Teleop134.5
End25.7
red by 30.2
5997
#9
147.50.0
147.5→147.5
Auto15.2
Teleop108.3
End23.6
Second
2080
#3
133.90.0
133.9→133.9
Auto17.5
Teleop103.7
End11.0
blue by 5.8
3753
#22
139.70.0
139.7→139.7
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
Third
5785
#28
96.50.0
96.5→96.5
Auto15.1
Teleop75.5
End3.4
blue by 38.3
2183
#10
134.80.0
134.8→134.8
Auto14.8
Teleop103.7
End17.3