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Red107
578596.5
999090.5
6489109.7
Blue144
2992177.7
3337131.2
596598.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1683790100300500600700107144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6489
#31
109.70.0
109.7109.7
Auto14.5
Teleop87.7
End10.4
blue by 68.0
177.70.0
177.7177.7
Auto18.5
Teleop134.5
End25.7
Second
5785
#28
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto15.1
Teleop75.5
End3.4
blue by 34.7
131.20.0
131.2131.2
Auto17.2
Teleop98.2
End18.6
Third
9990
#23
90.50.0
90.590.5
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
blue by 7.8
5965
#27
98.30.0
98.398.3
Auto12.9
Teleop75.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
2%Auto Quest odds41%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds