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Red141
3337131.2
999460.1
3753139.7
Blue136
3616162.7
9986108.9
4107119.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2673210200400600800141136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3753
#22
139.70.0
139.7139.7
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
blue by 23.0
3616
#14
162.70.0
162.7162.7
Auto17.7
Teleop130.5
End14.4
Second
131.20.0
131.2131.2
Auto17.2
Teleop98.2
End18.6
red by 11.8
4107
#24
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto13.3
Teleop93.4
End12.0
Third
9994
#13
60.152.3
112.460.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 48.7
9986
#33
108.90.0
108.9108.9
Auto14.4
Teleop87.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest odds44%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds