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Red134
7094102.1
596598.3
3847156.9
Blue233
1927114.7
4336117.6
5930134.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603110100200400500600700800134233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#20
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
red by 22.4
5930
#11
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Second
102.10.0
102.1102.1
Auto14.3
Teleop78.9
End8.4
blue by 15.4
4336
#15
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto16.0
Teleop86.1
End17.3
Third
5965
#27
98.30.0
98.398.3
Auto12.9
Teleop75.8
End3.1
blue by 16.4
1927
#21
114.70.0
114.7114.7
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest odds47%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds