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Red294
2080133.9
7094102.1
999460.1
Blue124
3753139.7
5863105.3
9997117.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393040100200400500600700800294124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.90.0
133.9133.9
Auto17.5
Teleop103.7
End11.0
blue by 5.8
3753
#22
139.70.0
139.7139.7
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
Second
102.10.0
102.1102.1
Auto14.3
Teleop78.9
End8.4
blue by 15.3
9997
#26
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto12.9
Teleop88.5
End18.7
Third
9994
#13
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 45.2
5863
#19
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto14.5
Teleop81.7
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest odds35%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds