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Red405
364197.2
4587193.8
6489109.7
Blue182
4336117.6
3039138.0
1927114.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122110100300500600405182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#2
197.20.0
197.2197.2
Auto24.0
Teleop145.8
End24.7
red by 59.3
138.00.0
138.0138.0
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End14.3
Second
193.80.0
193.8193.8
Auto20.2
Teleop145.4
End24.2
red by 76.3
4336
#15
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto16.0
Teleop86.1
End17.3
Third
6489
#31
109.70.0
109.7109.7
Auto14.5
Teleop87.7
End10.4
blue by 5.1
1927
#21
114.70.0
114.7114.7
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End11.6