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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Palmetto Regional
Red453
343143.1
125144.2
5317141.1
Blue288
263141.5
4020142.7
4582130.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338277100200400500453288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
144.21.0
137.4→138.5
Auto21.5
Teleop108.4
End18.0
red by 1.4
4020
#10
142.70.7
142.0→142.7
Auto18.3
Teleop108.1
End18.5
Second
343
#5
143.10.8
136.9→137.7
Auto22.5
Teleop112.6
End9.6
red by 1.6
263
#22
141.50.5
141.0→141.5
Auto18.0
Teleop110.0
End14.6
Third
5317
#26
141.11.1
133.2→134.4
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End18.2
red by 10.5
4582
#15
130.60.1
130.5→130.6
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End8.9