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Qual 12018 Palmetto Regional
Red125
1553130.2
450494.8
281126.3
Blue329
4243110.9
2383153.2
4582130.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932720100200400500600125329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1553
#11
130.216.3
72.2→88.5
Auto17.6
Teleop97.1
End15.8
blue by 23.1
2383
#14
153.213.5
97.2→110.8
Auto21.6
Teleop114.6
End17.5
Second
281
#19
126.314.6
86.9→101.5
Auto17.3
Teleop88.4
End24.0
blue by 4.4
4582
#15
130.617.9
57.4→75.4
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End8.9
Third
4504
#62
94.815.4
80.4→95.7
Auto14.7
Teleop74.6
End7.7
blue by 16.1
4243
#34
110.916.6
69.2→85.8
Auto12.3
Teleop90.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed