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Qual 282018 Palmetto Regional
Red381
3490129.4
1923149.2
4823100.3
Blue82
450494.8
139898.7
6366127.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27928210015020025030035038182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#18
149.27.0
116.1→123.1
Auto24.7
Teleop104.5
End20.9
red by 21.7
6366
#25
127.66.5
117.1→123.6
Auto18.3
Teleop95.4
End17.4
Second
3490
#27
129.42.7
121.6→124.4
Auto20.2
Teleop94.3
End11.8
red by 30.7
1398
#46
98.711.0
86.6→97.7
Auto15.4
Teleop78.7
End6.0
Third
4823
#52
100.35.4
82.8→88.3
Auto13.8
Teleop75.9
End12.3
red by 5.5
4504
#62
94.80.1
105.2→105.1
Auto14.7
Teleop74.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed