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Qual 452018 Palmetto Regional
Red305
6167115.6
3641170.5
4481141.3
Blue319
263141.5
342144.6
3651102.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452560100200300400500600305319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#8
170.56.4
145.5→151.9
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
red by 25.8
342
#21
144.67.6
118.7→126.3
Auto18.2
Teleop112.2
End16.2
Second
4481
#24
141.34.4
130.0→134.3
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End14.9
blue by 0.1
263
#22
141.52.7
128.1→130.7
Auto18.0
Teleop110.0
End14.6
Third
6167
#56
115.65.1
96.7→101.8
Auto16.5
Teleop84.6
End16.8
red by 12.8
3651
#40
102.80.3
96.5→96.8
Auto14.3
Teleop78.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed