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Red124
4083112.3
5022114.1
125144.2
Blue191
1876162.6
6961106.8
5130100.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2662780100200400500600124191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
144.22.4
128.5130.9
Auto21.5
Teleop108.4
End18.0
blue by 18.4
162.65.5
138.3143.8
Auto18.7
Teleop119.1
End25.2
Second
5022
#28
114.14.0
107.3111.3
Auto14.9
Teleop86.6
End11.3
red by 7.3
6961
#39
106.80.1
109.1109.2
Auto13.4
Teleop82.0
End13.3
Third
4083
#47
112.32.9
103.9106.8
Auto15.3
Teleop83.9
End16.8
red by 12.3
5130
#44
100.01.4
100.6102.0
Auto13.5
Teleop81.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed