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Red125
4823100.3
4074107.7
3489144.5
Blue297
4243110.9
2393125.3
6167115.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232290100200400500600125297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#33
144.56.4
136.7143.1
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
red by 19.1
2393
#51
125.30.2
121.8122.0
Auto17.0
Teleop94.9
End14.6
Second
4074
#23
107.72.3
107.5109.8
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End4.4
blue by 7.9
6167
#56
115.63.7
101.8105.5
Auto16.5
Teleop84.6
End16.8
Third
4823
#52
100.35.9
94.9100.7
Auto13.8
Teleop75.9
End12.3
blue by 10.6
4243
#34
110.90.3
109.1108.8
Auto12.3
Teleop90.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed