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Red170
3410112.4
577797.7
1369123.3
Blue191
1553130.2
4481141.3
4074107.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243200100400500600170191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1369
#55
123.34.5
101.0105.5
Auto14.6
Teleop94.4
End15.8
blue by 18.1
4481
#24
141.34.6
123.7128.3
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End14.9
Second
3410
#43
112.46.0
95.1101.2
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End10.8
blue by 17.8
1553
#11
130.27.8
105.1112.9
Auto17.6
Teleop97.1
End15.8
Third
5777
#60
97.77.1
85.292.2
Auto14.9
Teleop80.8
End6.5
blue by 9.9
4074
#23
107.74.4
98.8103.1
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed