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Qual 712018 Palmetto Regional
Red105
7085110.6
4748110.4
1287134.1
Blue401
125144.2
2383153.2
263141.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223560100300400500105401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#38
134.15.0
121.3→126.3
Auto14.6
Teleop102.2
End22.2
blue by 19.1
2383
#14
153.24.7
138.0→142.7
Auto21.6
Teleop114.6
End17.5
Second
7085
#37
110.60.4
112.4→112.0
Auto14.9
Teleop82.2
End13.8
blue by 33.5
125
#4
144.20.9
131.7→132.7
Auto21.5
Teleop108.4
End18.0
Third
4748
#53
110.43.8
103.4→107.3
Auto13.9
Teleop89.1
End9.8
blue by 31.0
263
#22
141.52.2
135.0→137.1
Auto18.0
Teleop110.0
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed