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Red323
5472163.7
4243110.9
343143.1
Blue265
3641170.5
6961106.8
1923149.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299300270280290310320323265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.75.3
145.2150.5
Auto21.9
Teleop122.8
End17.3
blue by 6.8
170.55.0
156.3161.4
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
Second
343
#5
143.12.4
128.2130.5
Auto22.5
Teleop112.6
End9.6
blue by 6.2
1923
#18
149.21.7
143.7145.4
Auto24.7
Teleop104.5
End20.9
Third
4243
#34
110.90.2
110.1110.3
Auto12.3
Teleop90.0
End7.6
red by 4.1
6961
#39
106.80.7
109.2108.6
Auto13.4
Teleop82.0
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed