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Red81
5130100.0
4013119.9
4265129.5
Blue389
2614168.7
2152122.9
4823100.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25028910020040050081389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#45
129.51.3
129.1130.5
Auto15.6
Teleop104.2
End7.2
blue by 39.2
168.75.2
154.6159.8
Auto24.1
Teleop120.1
End23.9
Second
4013
#41
119.90.2
121.1121.4
Auto18.7
Teleop90.6
End13.9
blue by 3.0
2152
#17
122.90.2
118.9119.1
Auto19.1
Teleop96.2
End6.0
Third
5130
#44
100.01.0
102.2101.3
Auto13.5
Teleop81.2
End6.8
blue by 0.3
4823
#52
100.31.4
100.398.9
Auto13.8
Teleop75.9
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed