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Qual 772018 Palmetto Regional
Red166
263141.5
622294.3
397696.7
Blue355
4965128.7
1553130.2
4073122.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243324100200300400500166355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#22
141.52.7
137.1→139.8
Auto18.0
Teleop110.0
End14.6
red by 11.3
1553
#11
130.23.0
123.6→126.6
Auto17.6
Teleop97.1
End15.8
Second
3976
#63
96.70.7
99.0→98.3
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End2.9
blue by 32.0
4965
#20
128.72.8
122.7→125.5
Auto16.7
Teleop96.7
End15.4
Third
6222
#64
94.30.6
96.4→95.8
Auto14.9
Teleop70.7
End4.7
blue by 28.3
4073
#48
122.60.3
121.8→121.5
Auto15.7
Teleop94.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed