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Red244
1923149.2
4074107.7
506399.7
Blue267
2152122.9
5022114.1
2187103.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270270245255260265275280244267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#18
149.20.8
145.4146.2
Auto24.7
Teleop104.5
End20.9
red by 26.3
2152
#17
122.92.1
119.1121.2
Auto19.1
Teleop96.2
End6.0
Second
4074
#23
107.71.8
109.8108.0
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End4.4
blue by 6.5
5022
#28
114.10.5
113.0113.5
Auto14.9
Teleop86.6
End11.3
Third
5063
#61
99.71.0
97.298.2
Auto12.6
Teleop76.6
End8.3
blue by 3.3
2187
#54
103.01.4
100.4101.8
Auto14.6
Teleop82.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed