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Red234
3489144.5
450494.8
283128.7
Blue451
577797.7
125144.2
4020142.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263322100200400500234451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#33
144.50.5
143.7144.2
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
red by 0.3
125
#4
144.22.4
134.0136.4
Auto21.5
Teleop108.4
End18.0
Second
283
#30
128.73.0
125.7128.7
Auto16.8
Teleop94.0
End24.5
blue by 14.0
4020
#10
142.70.5
140.5141.0
Auto18.3
Teleop108.1
End18.5
Third
4504
#62
94.80.7
95.594.8
Auto14.7
Teleop74.6
End7.7
blue by 2.9
5777
#60
97.70.3
97.497.7
Auto14.9
Teleop80.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed