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Red283
4451167.4
1876162.6
342144.6
Blue337
2614168.7
5472163.7
3140142.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377316100200400500600283337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.40.9
165.8166.7
Auto25.1
Teleop118.2
End23.4
blue by 1.2
168.70.0
167.9167.9
Auto24.1
Teleop120.1
End23.9
Second
162.60.9
160.9161.8
Auto18.7
Teleop119.1
End25.2
blue by 1.1
163.70.3
161.5161.8
Auto21.9
Teleop122.8
End17.3
Third
342
#21
144.60.8
143.2144.0
Auto18.2
Teleop112.2
End16.2
red by 2.0
3140
#16
142.60.1
142.3142.2
Auto17.3
Teleop114.9
End6.9