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Red288
3641170.5
3824173.4
4823100.3
Blue419
343143.1
125144.2
5317141.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317330150200250300350400450500288419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.41.1
172.2173.4
Auto24.8
Teleop131.0
End20.0
red by 29.2
125
#4
144.21.2
139.6140.8
Auto21.5
Teleop108.4
End18.0
Second
170.50.7
169.8170.5
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
red by 27.4
343
#5
143.11.1
138.7139.8
Auto22.5
Teleop112.6
End9.6
Third
4823
#52
100.30.1
100.3100.3
Auto13.8
Teleop75.9
End12.3
blue by 40.7
5317
#26
141.11.4
135.7137.0
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End18.2