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Red350
5190203.5
1102194.6
3506129.7
Blue285
3489162.6
1225123.7
3490125.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4231700600800350285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.4
202.8203.2
Auto21.9
Teleop157.3
End24.8
red by 40.9
162.60.6
161.5162.0
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
Second
194.60.7
193.2193.9
Auto19.2
Teleop153.9
End22.1
red by 69.6
3490
#11
125.00.2
124.4124.7
Auto15.8
Teleop99.1
End8.9
Third
3506
#15
129.70.0
129.8129.8
Auto15.1
Teleop109.4
End4.4
red by 6.0
1225
#12
123.70.1
123.8123.7
Auto16.7
Teleop90.6
End12.9