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Red255
3489162.6
1553120.4
3506129.7
Blue268
1102194.6
4083117.9
5327111.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258294100200400500255268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.60.3
154.2153.9
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
blue by 32.0
194.60.4
182.5182.9
Auto19.2
Teleop153.9
End22.1
Second
3506
#15
129.70.6
134.5134.0
Auto15.1
Teleop109.4
End4.4
red by 11.8
4083
#17
117.90.1
120.2120.1
Auto14.3
Teleop86.5
End17.5
Third
1553
#21
120.41.9
129.0127.0
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End13.8
red by 9.2
111.20.2
109.3109.5
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed